Brewers vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 7/31/23

Washington Nationals (44-61) vs Milwaukee Brewers (57-48)

Game Info: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Jake Irvin (3-5) (4.96) vs Corbin Burnes (9-6) (3.46)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +165 / Milwaukee Brewers -217 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Bally Sports Wisconsin Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!

The Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals face off on Monday in an MLB showdown at Nationals Park.

Brewers Slumping

The Brewers sit with a 57-49 record overall but they have lost three games in a row against the Atlanta Braves. The pitching looked awful over the weekend and it didn’t matter who stepped on the mound, they were hit hard. In the three games the Brewers gave up 29 runs total, and they need to find a way to have better pitching. The Brewers are averaging 4.16 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th while the pitching is ranked 11th overall. On the mound for the Brewers will be Corbin Burnes who sits with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 3.46. In his last start against the Reds he went six innings giving up three hits and two runs.

Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as favourites against National League opponents following a loss.

The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.

The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.

Nationals Still Cant Figure it Out

The Nationals haven’t figured it out and they have lost three of the last four games. The Nationals offense has a lot of players who would be in AAA on other teams but they are playing for this team. On Sunday the offense only managed two runs, and that led to the three run defeat. The Nationals are averaging 4.31 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.19 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd while the pitching is ranked 27th. On the mound for the Nationals will be Jake Irvin who sits with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 4.96.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have won each of their last four games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.

The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Nationals' last 10 games at Nationals Park.

The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last three home games.

The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.

The Nationals have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.

Brewers and Nationals Facts

The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for home runs this season (93).

The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for walks this season (265).

The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 4th in the league for walks this season (375).

The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for doubles this season (153).

Shane’s Free Pick

Both of these teams have really struggled heading into this game. But one of these teams has to win. The Brewers pitching struggled over the weekend, but Corbin Burnes is going to stop that. Burnes sits with an ERA of 3.466 and he’s going to lockdown again in this game.In his last start he gave up only three hits and two runs and he’s going to finish even lower than that here. Back the under to cash here.