Angels vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 7/31/23

Atlanta Braves (67-36) vs Los Angeles Angels (55-51)

Game Info: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (10-8) (3.57) vs Griffin Canning (6-4) (4.46)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -230 / Los Angeles Angels +195 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Angels will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. The Angels were able to avoid the sweep in their last series with a win on Sunday, while Atlanta is coming off of a sweep of the Brewers. 

Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 55-51 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. The Angels are coming off of a series loss to the Blue Jays, where they lost two out of three games. Los Angeles has decided to be buyers at the trade deadline, but they are going to need to generate more offense than they did in Toronto. The LA pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Angels offense has scored 529 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .302 with 39 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Griffin Canning, who is 6-4 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 67-36 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Atlanta is coming off of a series sweep of the Brewers, where they scored 29 runs in three games. Atlanta is one of the best teams in the MLB and if their lineup gets going like it did against Milwaukee, they are going to be tough to beat. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 583 runs with a .270 batting average and a .339 on base percentage this year. Ronald Acuna is batting .335 with 24 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 10-8 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this season.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won 13 of their last 14 games following a home win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favourites following a home win.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
  • The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three home games against AL West opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

  • The Angels have lost 16 of their last 17 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line 13 of their last 14 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Angels' last three games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Angels have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Angels have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at Truist Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Braves' last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Riley has hit at least one home run in five of the Braves' last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last four games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ozzie Albies has scored a run in each of the Braves' last nine games as favourites.
  • Matt Olson ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Griffin Canning has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
  • Mike Moustakas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels' last nine games.
  • Mike Moustakas has recorded at least one total base in each of the Angels' last nine games.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in four of the Angels' last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Angels' last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in 11 of the Angels' last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.680) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (563).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.270).
  • The Los Angeles Angels ranks 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
  • The Los Angeles Angels are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.

Pick

Atlanta comes into this game with the best record in the MLB and they are 35-19 at home this year. The Angels are 26-28 on the road and they are currently a few games out of a Wild Card spot. LA is starting Griffin Canning, who has allowed 2, 2, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. Atlanta is starting Charlie Morton, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts (9.1 IP). Morton has had some issues in his last two starts and he will go up against an Angels lineup that has been pretty good for most of the year. I think we are going to see a higher scoring game here, but I like the Angels +1.5 in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Angels +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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