Yankees vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 7/30/23

Baltimore Orioles (63-41) vs New York Yankees (55-49)

Game Info: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Dean Kremer (10-4) (4.59) vs Luis Severino (2-4) (6.46)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -132 / New York Yankees +105 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles will host the New York Yankees for their divisional series finale this Sunday night from Camden Yards on ESPN. New York struck back in game two to win by five, 8-3.

Yankees Preview & Projected Starter

New York moved to 55-49 after defeating Baltimore. The Yankees have now won five of their previous seven, and they’re not going away without a fight this season. The New York offense is scoring 3.87 runs per game, while batting .230, with a .300 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.87 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP.

Lou Severino (2-4, 6.46 ERA, 45 Ks) will take the bump for New York. The eighth-year pitcher capitalized on the home spot against Kansas City last time out, striking out five in 5.2 innings to earn his second victory. They aren’t going to come much easier for Severino, and business could surely pick up here in Baltimore. Severino has looked serviceable in two starts post-All Star break, but after allowing seven runs in 2.1 innings to the O’s earlier this month, he’ll need to bring his A-game here.

Yankees Player Trends & Props

• Gleyber Torres has collected a hit in ten of the last twelve games, and he’s leading NYY in hits (100), while posting splits of .258/16/44.

• Giancarlo Stanton got things going with a first-inning bomb last night, and he’s totaled 14 home runs and 35 RBI for the season.

• Aaron Judge made his presence felt with his first homer since early June in the game two win, and he’s leading the Yanks in batting (.298) and homers (20), with 42 RBI.

• Anthony Rizzo has recorded a hit in both matchups with Baltimore, and he’s posting splits of .247/12/41.

Orioles Preview & Projected Starter

Baltimore comes in at 63-41 after falling to New York. The Orioles failed to score after the fifth inning last night, and they’ll look to close this series strong Sunday. The Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP.

Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.59 ERA, 104 Ks) will take the bump for Baltimore. The fourth-year pitcher bounced back from a tough outing versus Los Angeles to pitch seven innings of one-run ball in Philly last time out. Kremer’s improvements this season have been a game changer for the O’s this season, as they have a real shot to win the talented division. Kremer had his best outing of the year in the Bronx against the Yankees earlier this month, tossing a season-high ten strikeouts over seven innings of work, and he’ll look to replicate that effort at home Sunday.

Orioles Player Trends & Props

• Adley Rutschmann has recorded a hit in seven of his last ten games, and he leads Baltimore in hits (100), with splits of .267/14/46.

• Anthony Santander has plated runs in both matchups with New York, and he leads Baltimore in HR (18) and RBI (57).

• Ryan Mountcastle homered in Saturday’s loss, and he’s totaled thirteen home runs and 43 RBI for the season.

• Adam Frazier has doubled in three of the last five games, and he’s posting identical stats of twelve homers and 46 RBI.

Corey’s Free Pick

Baltimore has looked pretty normal this weekend against New York, but they will be sending their best arm to the hill in Dean Kremer on Sunday, and I believe game three will sway in their favor. Kremer may not replicate his previous outing against the Yanks, but I like him containing the swing-happy bombers here. Luis Severino is another story, as he’s looked competent post-All Star break, but his matchup with Baltimore in the Bronx earlier this month got ugly, and he’s not trustworthy here in primetime. Back Baltimore for this divisional series finale.