New York Mets (49-55) vs Washington Nationals (44-61)
Game Info: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)
Justin Verlander (5-5) (3.24) vs Trevor Williams (5-5) (4.47)
Betting Odds: New York Mets -260 / Washington Nationals +220 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Washington Nationals will play the New York Mets in Game 4 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field in New York. Washington was able to get the win on Saturday by a score of 11-6, while the Mets won the first two games in the series by scores of 2-1 and 5-1.
Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals are 44-61 this season and they have won six of their last nine games. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three games against the Rockies and all three of their games against the Giants. Washington is in last place in the NL East and has one of the worst records in the National League. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and a .274 opponent batting average this season. The Nationals offense has scored 454 runs with a .261 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Lane Thomas is batting .286 with 16 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Trevor Williams, who is 5-5 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this year.
Mets Preview
The New York Mets are 49-55 this season and they have won three of their last five games. The Mets have played very inconsistently this year and it looks like they have decided to become sellers at the deadline, as they traded Scherzer to the Rangers on Saturday night. Prior to this series, the Mets did split a two game series with the Yankees. The New York pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 461 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Pete Alonso is batting .217 with 30 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Justin Verlander, who is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Team Facts
- The Mets have won each of their last four games against the Nationals following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Team Facts
- The Nationals have won four of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have led after 7 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Sunday day games as road underdogs.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Justin Verlander has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances at Citi Field.
- Brett Baty has recorded two total bases in five of his last six appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored a run in each of the Mets' last five day games.
- Tommy Pham has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in six of his last 14 road appearances with the Nationals against NL opponents.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Nationals' last five day games.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Trevor Williams has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for hits this season (816).
- The New York Mets ranks 24th in the league for walks allowed this season (381).
- The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for walks this season (263).
- The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (782).
Pick
The Mets may have decided to sell at the deadline, but they still have a talented lineup and are heavy favorites coming into this game. Washington erupted for 11 runs on Saturday, but they were only able to muster two runs in the first two games. New York is starting Justin Verlander, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Washington is starting Trevor Williams, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last four starts. Verlander has been very good for the Mets recently and I like him to have another dominant outing here. Take the Mets -1.5 in this matchup.
David’s Pick Mets -1.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
Mitch's Take...
