Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 7/30/23

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Angels and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

• The Angels have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
• The Angels have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Angels have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Angels have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Belt has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Belt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last nine games as home favourites against AL West opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as home favourites.
• Whit Merrifield ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

• Mike Moustakas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Anderson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in each of the Angels' last five Sunday day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Angels' last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Mike Moustakas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels' last eight games.
• Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in 11 of the Angels' last 12 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.683) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1008).
• The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (425).
• The Los Angeles Angels ranks 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
• The Los Angeles Angels are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.

Pick

The Blue Jays come into this matchup playing very well and they have out scored Los Angeles by a score of 10-2 in the first two games of the series. The Angels will look to find some of the momentum that they had coming into this series, but they will have Tyler Anderson on the mound, who has been very inconsistent this year. Anderson has pitched slightly better in recent starts and has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Toronto is starting Jose Berrios, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. I don’t think the LA offense is going to have much success against Berrios, so I am taking the Blue Jays -1.5 here.