Reds vs Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 7/29/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (58-44) vs Cincinnati Reds (57-48)

Game Info: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 9:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Emmet Sheehan (3-1) (6.75) vs Luke Weaver (2-2) (7.20)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -210 / Cincinnati Reds +175 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Cincinnati was able to get the win in Game 1 on Friday night by a score of 6-5, which made the NL Central standings even tighter. Los Angeles has had a rough five game stretch, but they still have a three game lead over the Giants in the NL West. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 57-48 this season and they have won seven of their last nine games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three games against the Brewers. The Reds swept Arizona and split a four game series with the Giants in the two series before that. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average this season. The Reds offense has scored 509 runs with a .252 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Spencer Steer is batting .276 with 15 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 2-2 with a 7.20 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this year. 

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 58-44 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. The Dodgers are coming off of a series loss to Toronto, where they lost two out of three games. LA has allowed at least six runs in five straight games and their pitching staff has been inconsistent to say the least. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Dodgers offense has scored 575 runs with a .248 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this year. Freddie Freeman is batting .329 with 21 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Emmet Sheehan, who is 3-1 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 29.1 innings pitched this season. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the Dodgers' last five games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line 12 of their last 13 games at Dodger Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last four games as favourites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home favourites.
  • The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favourites against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The Reds have won each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday road games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddie Freeman ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.328) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for walks this season (429).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (570).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 4th in the league for walks this season (367).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (19).

Pick

The Dodgers have had some issues in their last five games and their pitching staff has not been very sharp. Cincinnati has been a solid road team this season and they have played well recently against everyone not named the Brewers. Cincinnati is starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed 15 earned runs in his last three starts (10.1 IP). LA is starting Emmet Sheehan, who has allowed 17 earned runs in his last three outings (12.1 IP). These pitchers have been horrible in their last three appearances, so I am going to take the over here. 

David’s Pick Over 10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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