Rangers vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 7/29/23

San Diego Padres (50-54) vs Texas Rangers (60-44)

Game Info: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 8:40 pm (Petco Park)

Yu Darvish (7-7) (4.80) vs Martin Perez (8-3) (4.91)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -170 / Texas Rangers +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Rangers will play the San Diego Padres in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Petco Park in San Diego, California. San Diego won Game 1 in this series by a score of 7-1 on Friday night. The Rangers had a few chances with runners in scoring position on Friday, but they were unable to get many timely hits. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 60-44 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Texas lost two out of three games in Houston and two out of three games at home to the Dodgers. Texas has had a very good season, but their pitching staff has allowed quite a few runs in recent games. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Rangers offense has scored 606 runs with a .274 batting average and a .343 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .259 with 25 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Martin Perez, who is 8-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 102.2 innings pitched this year. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 50-54 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. San Diego came into this series after losing two out of three games to the Pirates, which was a very disappointing series result at home. The Padres have been trying to get back into postseason contention, but they remain four games below .500. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 472 runs with a .236 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this year. Juan Soto is batting .266 with 20 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 7-7 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 101.1 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last six games at Petco Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Rangers at Petco Park.
  • The Padres have led after 7 innings in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The Rangers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 7 innings in 12 of their last 18 games as road underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last four games against National League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathaniel Lowe ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (415).
  • The San Diego Padres ranks 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (815).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 1st in the league for batting average this season (.274).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.343).

Pick

San Diego had a nice win in Game 1 of this series on Friday and they have played their best baseball at home this year. Texas has had some pitching issues this season, but they have also scored the most runs in the MLB this year. The Rangers are starting Martin Perez, who has allowed 4, 3, and 6 earned runs in his last three starts. The Padres are starting Yu Darvish, who was lit up for seven earned runs against the Pirates in his last outing. I think we see a high scoring game here and I like the over. 

David’s Pick Over 8.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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