Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 7/29/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (55-49) vs Seattle Mariners (53-50)

Game Info: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

Brandon Pfaadt (0-4) (8.81) vs Bryan Woo (1-3) (4.91)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +105 / Seattle Mariners -125 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Seattle Mariners will play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Seattle won Game 1 in this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. Seattle has started to play more consistently and they are climbing the standings, while the Diamondbacks continue to lose games. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 53-50 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Seattle won two out of three games in Minnesota and two out of three games at home to Toronto. Seattle has had very good pitching this season, but their offense hasn’t been able to get it going on a consistent basis. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this season. The Mariners offense has scored 468 runs with a .233 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .252 with 17 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 1-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this year. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 55-49 this season and they have lost seven of their last eight games. Arizona came into this series after losing two out of three to St. Louis and all three games against the Reds. The Diamondbacks were in first place in the NL West not too long ago, but they have dropped to third behind the Dodgers and Giants. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 513 runs with a .259 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Corbin Carroll is batting .287 with 21 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 0-4 with an 8.81 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won five of the Diamondbacks' last six games.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Mariners and Diamondbacks.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Mariners and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won each of their last six road games against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games.
  • The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against the Diamondbacks.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last four games as favourites against National League opponents.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three Saturday night games as favourites.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last four night games.
  • Alek Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances at Chase Field.
  • Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of his last four Saturday night appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last eight night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Corbin Carroll ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.552) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners' last four road games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit at least one home run in two of the Mariners' last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mariners' last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 3rd in the league for steals this season (103).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (811).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1016).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 27th in the league for batting average this season (.233).

Pick

The Diamondbacks have been very disappointing over the last month or so and their quality of play has really dropped off from where it was to start the season. On the flip side, Seattle is starting to play better and if they can start to hit with some consistency, they may play their way into the playoffs. Seattle is starting Bryan Woo, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (9.1 IP). Arizona is starting Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. This game is truly a toss up with two pitchers that are really struggling right now, but I am going to take Arizona to get a big win here. 

David’s Pick Diamondbacks ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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