Red Sox vs Giants Prediction - MLB Picks 7/28/23

San Francisco Giants (56-47) vs Boston Red Sox (55-47)

Game Info: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 10:15 pm (Oracle Park)

Logan Webb (8-8) (3.68) vs Kutter Crawford (4-5) (4.04)

Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -156 / Boston Red Sox +120 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Red Sox will head out to the Bay and begin an interleague series with the San Francisco Giants this Friday from Oracle Park.

Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston moved to 55-47 after taking two from Atlanta. The Red Sox held their own in the potential World Series preview with the Braves, and they’ll look to win their fifth straight game here. The Boston offense is 4.18 scoring runs per game, while batting .258, with a .340 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.89 ERA, with a 1.34 WHIP. Masataka Yoshida homered in the game one win over ATL, and he leads Boston in batting (.316), with 53 RBI. Rafael Devers has recorded a hit in nine of the last ten games, and he’s first on the team in HR (25) and RBI (76). Justin Turner has produced a run in six of the previous nine games, and he’s posting splits of .289/16/66, while leading the Sox in hits (108).

Kutter Crawford (4-5, 4.04 ERA, 69 Ks) will open the game for Boston. The third-year pitcher failed to follow up his strong outing in Chicago, as he allowed four runs in four innings to New York, and took his fifth loss of the season. Crawford reverted back to his usual ways after falling apart against the Mets, and it’s unclear how he’ll come out in the Bay here. Oracle is much more of a pitcher-friendly park than Fenway, so he will have that factor in his favor.   

Giants Betting Preview

San Francisco comes in at 56-47 after taking two from Oakland. The Giants got back on track with a pair of wins over their crosstown foes, and they’ll look to carry that momentum into the weekend. The San Francisco offense is scoring 4.81 runs per game, while batting .250, with a .326 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.89 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP. Mike Conforto is hitless in his last three, and he leads the Giants in home runs (13) and RBI (51). J.D Davis homered in the second leg win over Oakland, and he leads SFG in hits (81), with an identical thirteen homers and 51 RBI. Wilmer Flores has recorded a hit in eight of the previous ten games, and he’s posting splits of .291/13/32.

Logan Webb (8-8, 3.48 ERA, 136 Ks) will get the call for San Francisco. The fifth-year pitcher had the worst start of the season last week in DC, uncharacteristically allowed six runs in just one lone inning pitched.  Webb has been much better than that this season, and he will need to channel that energy against a talented Boston lineup. All nine of Webb’s home starts have resulted in quality starts, and he’ll look to put his previous contest behind him. 

Boston vs San Francisco Trends

Boston is 51-48 against the spread this season, with a 51-44-7 O/U record. San Francisco is 48-53 ATS this year, with a 44-54-3 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Boston comes into the Bay with some momentum, and they’re in a profitable spot here in game one. San Francisco holds alleged advantages of home field and pitching here, but the Sox have been very effective at the plate this season, and bottling Logan Webb up here isn’t out of the question. Whether Kutter Crawford holds up is the bigger debate, and targeting the manageable total here makes sense. Boston deserves a look on the ML, but I like the over more here, as it brings more security.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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