Guardians vs White Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 7/28/23

Chicago White Sox Team Facts

• The White Sox have lost each of their last six games.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
• The White Sox have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last six Friday night games at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

• The Guardians have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the White Sox following a win.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight Friday night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Eloy Jimenez has scored a run in five of the White Sox's last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has hit at least one home run in three of the White Sox's last five games at Guaranteed Rate Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the White Sox's last four games at Guaranteed Rate Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Luis Robert ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last 19 Friday night games as favourites.
• Josh Naylor has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in 10 of the Guardians' last 11 road games against the White Sox.
• Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of the Guardians' last three road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chicago White Sox ranks 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
• The Chicago White Sox ranks 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (410).
• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (104).
• The Cleveland Guardians ranks T3rd in the league for triples this season (21).

Pick

The Guardians are playing very well right now and they continue to close the gap on the Twins for first place in the AL Central. Chicago has really fallen off in recent months and they are 13 games out of first. The White Sox are starting Touki Toussaint, who has allowed six earned runs over his last 12.1 innings of work. The Guardians are starting Xzavion Curry, who has allowed two earned runs in his last four innings pitched. We saw the over hit in Game 1 of this series, but I like the under here. Both of these teams have not been able to score runs consistently this year and even though Cleveland is heating up, I don’t think we get to double digits here. Take the under.