Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 7/28/23

Toronto Blue Jays (57-46) vs Los Angeles Angels (54-49)

Game Info: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Kevin Gausman (7-5) (3.18) vs Lucas Giolito (6-6) (3.79)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -210 / Los Angeles Angels +175 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Angels will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. The Angels decided to take Ohtani off of the trade block and become buyers at the deadline. Los Angeles is looking to make a run at an AL Wild Card spot, while the Blue Jays are looking to do the same. 

Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 54-49 this season and they have won eight of their last nine games. The Angels are coming off of a series sweep in Detroit, where they won all three games in the series. Los Angeles has hit the ball very well recently, scoring at least six runs in six of their last seven games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Angels offense has scored 524 runs with a .257 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .298 with 38 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Lucas Giolito, who was just acquired from the White Sox. Giolito is 6-6 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this year. 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-46 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against the Dodgers, where they won two out of three games on the road. Prior to that series, Toronto lost two out of three games against the Mariners and the Padres. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 469 runs with a .262 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this year. Bo Bichette is batting .316 with 17 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 7-5 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 121.2 innings pitched this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last nine night games against the Angels at Rogers Centre following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Friday games as favourites against AL West opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favourites against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

  • The Angels have won each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Angels' last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Angels have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Kevin Gausman has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays' last four games as favourites against AL West opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays' last four games as favourites against AL West opponents.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Belt has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Bo Bichette has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays' last six games against AL West opponents at Rogers Centre.
  • Bo Bichette ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.316) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Zach Neto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
  • Shohei Ohtani has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Angels' last six road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Angels' last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lucas Giolito has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in three of the Angels' last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.675) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 5th in the league for batting average this season (.262).
  • The Los Angeles Angels are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
  • The Los Angeles Angels ranks 27th in the league for steals this season (50).

Pick

The Angels come into this series playing their best baseball of the season and they will look to make it nine of their last ten with a win here. Toronto had a nice series win in Los Angeles against the Dodgers and they will head home for this series, where they are 27-20 on the year. Toronto is starting Kevin Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Los Angeles is starting Lucas Giolito, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Angels are hitting the ball very well right now and I am going to take a chance on them as a road underdog here. 

David’s Pick Angels ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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