Royals vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 7/26/23

Cleveland Guardians (50-51) vs Kansas City Royals (29-74)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Gavin Williams (1-2) (3.74) vs Alec Marsh (0-4) (6.20)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -200 / Kansas City Royals +165 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Kansas City won the first game in this series by a score of 5-3, while Cleveland won Game 2 by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday. Cleveland is under .500 since the All-Star break, but they are only a few games out of first place in the AL Central. 

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 29-74 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost all three games in their series with the Yankees and three out of four games against Detroit. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.23 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average this year. The Royals offense has scored 380 runs with a .232 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .253 with 16 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Alec Marsh, who is 0-4 with a 6.20 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 20.1 innings pitched this season. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 50-51 this season and they have won five of their last eight games. Cleveland came into this series after winning two out of three games against the Phillies and two out of three against the Pirates. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 420 runs with a .253 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez is batting .287 with 14 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 1-2 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last five day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday day games as favourites against the Royals.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last three games as favourites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 10 Wednesday road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 Wednesday day games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last four games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Amed Rosario has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded an RBI in each of the Guardians' last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in four of his last 11 appearances in day games.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians' last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two hits in each of his last three appearances in day games.
  • Salvador Perez has hit a home run in two of the Royals' last three games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (101).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 4th in the league for triples this season (20).
  • The Kansas City Royals ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (365).
  • The Kansas City Royals ranks 29th in the league for runs scored this season (380).

Pick

The Guardians come into this game as a heavy favorite to get the win, which would bring them back up to the .500 mark on the year. Kansas City is one of the worst teams in all of baseball and they have not been able to pitch or hit very well. KC is starting Alec Marsh, who has allowed 14 earned runs in 20.1 innings of work this year. Cleveland is starting Gavin Williams, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Williams has pitched well for Cleveland this year and should not have many issues in this game. Take the Guardians -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Guardians -1.5

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