Rockies vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 7/26/23

Washington Nationals (42-59) vs Colorado Rockies (40-61)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 12:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Jake Irvin (3-5) (4.87) vs Peter Lambert (2-1) (5.49)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals -130 / Colorado Rockies +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Rockies will play the Washington Nationals in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Colorado won Game 1 in this series by a score of 10-6 and had a 5-2 lead in Game 2, but they allowed four runs in the eighth inning to pick up the loss. Despite the loss, Colorado has played fairly well in their last few series. 

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 40-61 this season and they have won five of their last eight games. Prior to splitting the first two games in this series, Colorado won two out of three games against the Marlins. Colorado has played well since the All-Star break, going 6-4 against the Yankees, Astros, Marlins, and Nationals. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.50 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .280 opponent batting average this year. The Rockies offense has scored 443 runs with a .254 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .254 with 15 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Peter Lambert, who is 2-1 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this season.

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 42-59 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Prior to this series, Washington won all three games in their series with San Francisco. The Nationals have been pretty bad this season, but they are hitting the ball well right now, scoring 33 runs in their last five games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.96 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, and a .276 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 436 runs with a .262 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Lane Thomas is batting .293 with 16 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 3-5 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 68.1 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games as home favourites against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favourites against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favourites against NL West opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home favourites against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last four games as favourites.

Colorado Rockies Team Facts

  • The Rockies have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rockies' last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Rockies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals' last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in eight of the Nationals' last nine home games against NL West opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in two of the Nationals' last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Nationals' last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan McMahon has scored a run in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit a home run in two of the Rockies' last three games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded an RBI in six of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (753).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.276).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.280).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (963).

Pick

These two teams have played two high scoring games to start this series and Tuesday’s game was very entertaining to watch. Colorado has played well recently, but their pitching staff has the second worst team ERA in the MLB. Colorado is starting Peter Lambert, who has allowed 0 runs on eight innings of work in his last two starts. Washington is starting Jake Irvin, who has allowed 3, 4, 2, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings. The Rockies bullpen showed why they are one of the worst in baseball in the loss on Tuesday and they will be needed plenty in this game. I like the Nationals here. 

David’s Pick Nationals ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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