Mariners vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 7/26/23

Minnesota Twins (54-49) vs Seattle Mariners (51-50)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

Joe Ryan (9-6) (3.88) vs Bryce Miller (6-3) (3.50)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -125 / Seattle Mariners +105 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Seattle Mariners will play the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Both of these teams have won a game in this series, with Minnesota winning Game 1 by a score of 4-3 and Seattle winning Game 2 by a score of 9-7. Seattle desperately needs to put some wins together, while the Twins are leading the AL Central.

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 51-50 this season and they have lost two of their last three games. Prior to this series, Seattle won two out of three games against the Blue Jays. Seattle has not been able to hit the ball very consistently this season, but their pitching has been very strong. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Mariners offense has scored 455 runs with a .232 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .246 with 16 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 6-3 with a 3.50 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 69.1 innings pitched this year. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 54-49 this season and they have won four of their last five games. The Twins came into this series after winning all three games in their series with the White Sox at home. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 450 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this year. Carlos Correa is batting .232 with 12 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 9-6 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 118.1 innings pitched this season.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have lost four of their last five games as home favourites following a home loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won three of the Mariners' last four games.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six road games.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games at Target Field.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favourite against the Mariners.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as home favourites against AL opponents.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favourite against the Mariners.
  • Max Kepler has scored at least one run in five of the Twins' last six games against the Mariners.
  • Joey Gallo has hit at least one home run in six of his last 17 home appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Twins' last six games against the Mariners.
  • Joe Ryan ranks 9th in the league for total Strikeouts (141) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last 12 games as underdogs.
  • Kolten Wong has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit at least one home run in two of the Mariners' last three games as underdogs.
  • Dylan Moore has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last eight games against the Twins.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (794).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (993).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 28th in the league for batting average this season (.232).

Pick

Both teams will be looking for the series win in this game after Seattle tied the series with their win on Tuesday. The Twins have played well over the last few weeks and they are starting to create some room between them and the Guardians in the AL Central. Minnesota is starting Joe Ryan, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last three starts (15.2 IP). Seattle is starting Bryce Miller, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts and four of his last five. The Twins are the more consistent team right now, but I think we are getting some good value on the Mariners. Seattle hit the ball well on Tuesday and will be facing a pitcher that has had some struggles recently. Take the Mariners here. 

David’s Pick Mariners ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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