Reds vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 7/25/23

Milwaukee Brewers (55-45) vs Cincinnati Reds (55-46)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)

Corbin Burnes (9-5) (3.49) vs Andrew Abbott (5-2) (2.10)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -141 / Cincinnati Reds +110 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Cincinnati Reds for game two of their divisional series this Tuesday from American Family Field. Milwaukee came away with a walkoff victory in game one, 3-2.

Reds Betting Preview

Cincinnati moved to 55-47 after defeating Milwaukee. The Reds had their five-game streak snapped, and they’ll look to get back into the win column Tuesday. The Cincinnati offense is scoring 3.78 runs per game, while batting .257, with a .334 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.46 WHIP. Spencer Steer has multiple hits in three of the previous four games, and he leads the team in hits (101), home runs (14), with 55 RBI. Elly De La Cruz has homered in back-to-back games, and he’s batting .273. Jonathan India has recorded multiple hits in three of his last six games, and he leads the Reds in runs (68), with splits of .251/14/51. Jake Fraley has recorded a hit in seven of the last nine games, and he leads Cincy in RBI (59), with fourteen home runs. 

Andrew Abbott (5-2, 2.10 ERA, 57 Ks) will get the ball for Cincinnati. The rookie southpaw bounced back from two straight losses to deliver his longest outing of the season against San Francisco, striking out six of eight innings of work to earn his fifth victory. Abbott is enjoying a successful first year in the majors, and seven of his first nine appearances resulting in quality starts. The UVA product’s two losses did come to this Milwaukee team, so he’ll be out to avenge those sure in game two. 

Brewers Betting Preview 

Milwaukee moved to 56-45 after defeating  Cincinnati. The Brewers walked off last night, and after trading their last five games, they’ll look to buck that trend Tuesday. The Milwaukee offense is 4.56 scoring runs per game, while batting .231, with a .307 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.95 ERA, with a 1.31 WHIP. Christian Yelich provided the game winning run last night, and he leads the Brewers in hits (105) and RBI (55), with fourteen homers. Willy Adames went hitless in game one, but he leads the Brewers in home runs (16), with 46 RBI. William Contreras also contributed a RBI in Monday’s win, and he’s posting splits of .269/10/38.

Corbin Burnes (9-5, 3.49 ERA, 125 Ks) will take the mound for Milwaukee. The sixth-year pitcher has turned things up this month, and he delivered a gem in Philly last week, tossing ten strikeouts over eight innings of shutout ball to earn his ninth win. Burnes has now won four straight starts, while allowing just four runs total here in July. Two of those outings came against Cincy, with Burnes tossing a season-high 13 Ks in his return from the All-Star break, and he’ll look to put more pressure on the Reds here Tuesday. 

Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Trends

Cincinnati is 65-36 against the spread this season, with a 55-46 O/U record. Milwaukee is 48-52 ATS this year, with a 42-54-4 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Milwaukee snuck away with the game one victory, and with the hottest pitcher in the league set to go, they’ve got a good chance of doubling down here. Corbin Burnes is dialed in right now, and after dominating the Reds twice this month, he could very well shut them down again. This could also be a great pitching matchup overall with stud rookie Andrew Abbott set to go for Cincy, so while the under may be in play, Burnes momentum is too much to look away from right. Back Milwaukee to take game two.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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