Orioles vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 7/25/23

Philadelphia Phillies (53-47) vs Baltimore Orioles (62-38)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Taijuan Walker (11-4) (4.11) vs Kyle Gibson (9-6) (4.76)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -130 / Baltimore Orioles +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Baltimore won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on a Colton Cowser RBI double in the ninth inning. The Orioles continue to be one of the hottest teams in baseball. 

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 62-38 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Baltimore won three out of four games on the road against Tampa Bay. The Orioles have played great over the last couple of months and they are in first place in the AL East. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this season. The Orioles offense has scored 491 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .244 with 16 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Gibson, who is 9-6 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 121 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-47 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three games in Cleveland. Philadelphia has struggled to hit the ball recently, scoring 18 runs in their last three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 448 runs with a .256 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .185 with 26 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 11-4 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favourites after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Orioles and Phillies.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favourites against American League opponents.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as favourites.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won six of the Orioles' last seven games.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four night games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last five games as home favourites.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last five Tuesday night games.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies' last seven home games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Gibson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Aaron Hicks has hit a home run in each of the Orioles' last four Tuesday games as underdogs.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Tuesday appearances.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Orioles' last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (286).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T6th in the league for steals this season (83).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 8th in the league for RBI's this season (475).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for strikeouts this season (910).

Pick

The Orioles come into this game as one of the best road teams in the MLB and they continue to increase their lead in the AL East. Philadelphia has struggled recently and they are now third in the NL East. The Phillies are starting Taijuan Walker, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three starts. The Orioles are starting Kyle Gibson, who has allowed 3, 5, 2, 4, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Gibson has allowed quite a few runs recently, which should benefit a struggling Phillies offense. Take Philadelphia to get the win here. 

David’s Pick Phillies ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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