Rockies vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 7/23/23

Miami Marlins (53-47) vs Colorado Rockies (39-59)

Game Info: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (8-5) (3.34) vs Ty Blach (0-0) (6.75)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -260 / Colorado Rockies +215 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Rockies will play the Miami Marlins in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Rockies have shocked the Marlins in the first two games of this series, winning by scores of 6-1 and 4-3. 

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 39-59 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Prior to winning the first two games in this series, Colorado split a two game series at home against the Astros. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.54 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .281 opponent batting average this year. The Rockies offense has scored 426 runs with a .251 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .255 with 15 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Ty Blach, who is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP over 13.1 innings pitched this season.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 53-47 this season and they have lost eight games in a row. Before they dropped the first two games in this series, Miami lost all three of their games in St. Louis. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 411 runs with a .265 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Jorge Soler is batting .245 with 24 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 8-5 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games as favourites against NL West opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home day games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Rockies and Marlins.

Colorado Rockies Team Facts

  • The Rockies have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rockies' last four day games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Yuli Gurriel has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last 10 appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
  • Jean Segura has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Rockies.
  • Jorge Soler has hit a home run in three of the Marlins' last five games as favourites against the Rockies.
  • Jon Berti has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last eight games against the Rockies at LoanDepot Park.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at LoanDepot Park.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.424) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rockies' last eight games against the Marlins.
  • C.J. Cron has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • C.J. Cron has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies' last eight games against the Marlins.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (942).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 26th in the league for home runs this season (91).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.281).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (939).

Pick

The Marlins come into this game on an eight game losing streak and they are trying to avoid being swept by one of the worst teams in baseball. Colorado has won four of their last five games, but they have one of the highest team ERA’s in the MLB. Colorado is starting Ty Blach, who will work as an opener in this game. Miami is starting Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Luzardo has been lights out for the Marlins this season and I think Miami will run away with this game. Take the Marlins -1.5 in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Marlins -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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