Phillies vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 7/23/23

Cleveland Guardians (48-49) vs Philadelphia Phillies (52-45)

Game Info: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Xzavion Curry (3-0) (2.86) vs Aaron Nola (9-6) (4.27)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians / Philadelphia Phillies --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians face off on Sunday in an MLB showdown at Progressive Field. The Guardians have won the first two games of this series. 

The Phillies come into this game with a 52-46 record overall and the offense was awful on Saturday only scoring a run. The Phillies are averaging 4.52 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.45 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th while the pitching is ranked 15th. Kyle Schwarber has hit 26 home runs and driven in 60 RBIs. On the mound for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola who sits with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 4.67. In his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers he went 7.1 innings giving up four hits and three runs. 

The Guardians sit with a 49-49 record overall and on Saturday they were able to secure the 1-0 victory. The only run for the Guardians was scored in the 6th inning. The Guardians are averaging 4.19 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.18 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league while the pitching is ranked 7th. Josh Naylor has hit 15 home runs and driven in 76 RBIs. 

Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last three day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in nine of their last 11 games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favourites.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last six Sunday day games.

Shane’s Free Pick

The Guardians offense wasn’t great on Saturday even though they won, and they are going to struggle in this game against Aaron Nola. Nola gave up only four hits in his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers and the Guardians bats are going to be ice cold again here. Back the Phillies on the money line to cash here. 

Shane’s Pick Phillies ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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