Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction - MLB Picks 7/22/23

Seattle Mariners (49-48) vs Toronto Blue Jays (54-44)

Game Info: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 4:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Logan Gilbert (8-5) (3.65) vs Kevin Gausman (7-5) (3.03)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners +115 / Toronto Blue Jays -140 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Seattle Mariners in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Seattle won the first game in this series on Friday night by a score of 3-2 on a walk-off single by Teoscar Hernandez. Toronto led this game by a score of 2-0 in the seventh inning, but Seattle scored one run in each of the last three innings for the win. 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-44 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three games at home to the Padres. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 436 runs with a .260 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Bo Bichette is batting .315 with 16 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 7-5 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched this year. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 49-48 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Seattle split a four game series at home with the Twins. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 431 runs with a .231 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this year. Teoscar Hernandez is batting .247 with 16 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 8-5 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this season.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Mariners have led after 7 innings in each of their last six day games at T-Mobile Park against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as road favourites against the Mariners following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favourites against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favourites against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as road favourites against AL West opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last three games as favourites against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last eight games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mariners' last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in four of the Mariners' last six games at T-Mobile Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last eight games as home underdogs against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Bichette has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last eight games as favourites against AL West opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Blue Jays' last four games as favourites against the Mariners.
  • George Springer has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays' last two games at T-Mobile Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bo Bichette ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.315) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (951).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.77).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (873).

Pick

The Mariners were able to get the win in the first game of this series, but they continue to really struggle offensively. Toronto has lost three of their last four games and they have only scored seven runs in their last four games. Toronto is starting Kevin Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Seattle is starting Logan Gilbert, who has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in three consecutive starts. I think we are going to see another low scoring game here and I like the under. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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