Twins vs Mariners Prediction - MLB Picks 7/20/23

Seattle Mariners (47-48) vs Minnesota Twins (50-47)

Game Info: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 3:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

George Kirby (8-8) (3.43) vs Pablo Lopez (5-5) (4.24)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -140 / Minnesota Twins +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Seattle Mariners in Game 4 of their series on Thursday afternoon at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington.

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 50-47 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Minnesota has won Games 2 and 3 in this series by scores of 10-3 and 6-3. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average this season. The Twins offense has scored 422 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .231 with 12 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 5-5 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 47-48 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Seattle won the first game in this series by a score of 7-6 on Monday night. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 423 runs with a .230 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez is batting .227 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 8-8 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 112.2 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Minnesota is 6-1 in their last 7 games against the AL West and 0-4 in Lopez’ last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 7-0-1 in Minnesota’s last 8 games. Seattle is 13-3 in their last 16 Thursday games. The over is 6-0 in Seattle’s last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. 

Pick

Seattle continues to struggle hitting the ball and they are fourth in the AL West, while Minnesota has scored 16 runs in the last two games and leads the AL Central. The Mariners have a very solid pitching staff and they are starting George Kirby in this game, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Minnesota is starting Pablo Lopez, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Both of these pitchers have had solid seasons, but they both were roughed up in their first start following the All-Star break. I like the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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