Orioles vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 7/20/23

Tampa Bay Rays (60-39) vs Baltimore Orioles (58-37)

Game Info: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Tyler Glasnow (3-3) (3.78) vs Kyle Gibson (9-6) (4.77)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -152 / Baltimore Orioles +120 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Baltimore Orioles for game one of their divisional series this Thursday from Tropicana Field on the MLB Network.

Orioles Betting Preview 

Baltimore comes in at 58-37 after dropping two of three to Los Angeles. The Orioles avoided being swept by the NL heavyweights, and they’ll look to regain form here in division action. The Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP. Austin Hays produced a run in the game three win over LAD, and he leads Baltimore in batting (.304). Adley Rutschmann has doubled in three of the last four games, and he leads Baltimore in hits (95), with splits of .275/13/41. Anthony Santander has recorded a hit in eight of the previous ten games, and he leads Baltimore in HR (17) and RBI (54).  

Kyle Gibson (9-6, 4.77 ERA, 90 Ks) will take the bump for Baltimore. The veteran righty was roughed up by Miami in his return from the break, allowing five runs in 5.1 innings, but he managed to avoid the losing decision. Gibson couldn’t pitch around the O’s struggled in June, but he’s been solid overall this season. Gibson dealt a gem in last road outing in a return to Minnesota, and he’ll look to replicate that effort here in Tampa. 

Rays Betting Preview

Tampa Bay comes in at 60-39 after being swept by Texas. The Rays have now dropped four straight games and they’ll look to fix things here at home. The Tampa offense is scoring 5.13 runs per game, while batting .264, with a .336 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.70 ERA, with a 1.22 WHIP. Yandy Diaz has recorded a hit in seven of the last eight games, and he leads Tampa in batting (.320) and hits (99), with 43 RBI. Randy Arozarena homered in the game two loss to the Rangers, and he’s first on the team in HR (17) and RBI (61). 

Tyler Glasnow (3-3, 3.78 ERA, 33 Ks) will take the mound for Tampa Bay. The eighth-year pitcher capitalized on the light return to action in Kansas City, striking out seven in six full innings to earn his third win of the season. Glasnow’s done well strikeout wise this year, clearing seven Ks in six of nine starts in 2023, but he’s not lasting as long in games this season. 

Baltimore vs Tampa Trends

Baltimore is 51-44 against the spread this season, with a 50-42-3 O/U record. Tampa Bay is 45-51 ATS this year, with a 49-40-7 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Tampa returns home after another humbling sweep from a heavyweight, and this untimely series with Baltimore could send more trouble their way. Baltimore is a real threat to win the AL East this season, and they can send a message to a reeling Rays team here at home. The O’s are no longer pesky prey, they’re hunters in the toughest division in sports. I expected Tampa to shake back at some point this weekend, but I like Baltimore coming out strong here in game one. Spot the Orioles the runs for this divisional battle.

Corey’s Pick Orioles +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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