Guardians vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 7/18/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (41-53) vs Cleveland Guardians (46-48)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 18, 2023 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (9-4) (3.31) vs Logan Allen (3-2) (3.47)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -110 / Cleveland Guardians -110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 46-48 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cleveland won the first game in this series by a score of 11-0 on Monday night. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this year. The Guardians offense has scored 385 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .285 with 14 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-53 this season and they have lost eight of their last nine games. Prior to losing Game 1 in this series, Pittsburgh lost all three games in their series with the Giants. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 388 runs with a .237 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Carlos Santana is batting .232 with nine home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 9-4 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 117 innings pitched this year. 

Trends

Cleveland is 6-0 in Allen’s last 6 starts. Pittsburgh is 0-7 in their last 7 home games and 0-4 in Keller’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 5 interleague games and the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. 

Pick

Pittsburgh has really fallen off after their impressive start to the season, while Cleveland is fighting for the AL Central with the Twins. Pittsburgh is starting Mitch Keller, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who has allowed 12 earned runs over his last five outings (22.2 IP). Mitch Keller has really impressed me this season and I think he will have a good outing against a poor hitting Cleveland team. Take the Pirates here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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