Brewers vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 7/18/23

Philadelphia Phillies (51-42) vs Milwaukee Brewers (52-42)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 18, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (8-6) (4.39) vs Julio Teheran (2-3) (3.64)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -210 / Milwaukee Brewers +175 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 52-42 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against the Reds, where they won all three games. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers offense has scored 392 runs with a .232 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Christian Yelich is batting .286 with 13 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Julio Teheran, who is 2-3 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-42 this season and they have won seven of their last ten games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against the Padres, where they won three out of four games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 426 runs with a .259 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .189 with 25 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 8-6 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 119.0 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Milwaukee is 5-0 in their last 5 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Milwaukee’s last 4 games on grass. Philadelphia is 4-0 in Nola’s last 4 starts against the NL Central and 1-4 in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 6-0-1 in Philadelphia’s last 7 games. 

Pick

Both of these teams have played well recently and they will look to continue that momentum in this series. Milwaukee is coming off of two great series against the Reds and they are now leading the NL Central. Philadelphia is third in the NL East, but they did win their last three games against the Padres. Teheran has had two rough starts in a row, while Nola has allowed seven earned runs over his last five outings (31 IP). I like the Phillies to win this game by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Phillies -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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