Rays vs Rangers Prediction - MLB Picks 7/17/23

Texas Rangers (55-39) vs Tampa Bay Rays (60-36)

Game Info: Monday, July 17, 2023 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Dane Dunning (8-2) (2.84) vs Shane McClanahan (11-1) (2.53)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers +105 / Tampa Bay Rays -125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 60-36 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against the Royals, where they won two out of three games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average this season. The Rays offense has scored 520 runs with a .259 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .277 with 16 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane McClanahan, who is 11-1 with a 2.53 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this year. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 55-39 this season and they have won three games in a row. Texas is coming off of a series win against Cleveland, where they won all three games. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 551 runs with a .275 batting average and a .343 on base percentage this year. Adolis Garcia is batting .267 with 24 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Dane Dunning, who is 8-2 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Tampa Bay is 7-1 in McClanahan’s last 8 starts during Game 1 of a series and they are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a loss. The under is 4-0 in McClanahan’s last 4 Monday starts. Texas is 2-12 in Dunning’s last 14 starts during Game 1 of a series. The under is 5-1-2 in Texas’ last 8 game one’s of a series and the under is 12-2-2 in Dunning’s last 16 starts against the AL East. 

Pick

These two teams come into this matchup with two of the best records in the American League, but both have had some issues recently. Texas has lost 11 of their last 19 games, while Tampa Bay has lost eight of their last eleven games. Texas is starting Dane Dunning, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Tampa Bay is starting Shane McClanahan, who is making his first start since being activated off of the IL. McClanahan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. I am going to take the Rangers in this game, as I think they are going to get to McClanahan as he gets back into the flow of MLB pitching. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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