Padres vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 7/16/23

Philadelphia Phillies (50-42) vs San Diego Padres (44-49)

Game Info: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Zack Wheeler (7-4) (4.05) vs Seth Lugo (3-4) (3.39)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -150 / San Diego Padres +125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 44-49 this season and they have won six of their last nine games. San Diego won the first game in the series by a score of 8-3 on Friday night. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 417 runs with a .235 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .266 with 16 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Seth Lugo, who is 3-4 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 50-42 this season and they have won six of their last nine games. Philadelphia won both games of the doubleheader on Saturday by scores of 6-4 and 9-4. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 419 runs with a .259 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .189 with 24 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 7-4 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 104.1 innings pitched this season. 

Trends

San Diego is 0-5 in Lugo’s last 5 road starts and 0-5 in Lugo’s last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. The over is 7-0-1 in San Diego’s last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 6-0 in Wheeler’s last 6 starts and 5-0 in Wheeler’s last 5 Sunday starts. The over is 7-0-1 in Philadelphia’s last 8 games. 

Pick

The Padres and Phillies will get together to play Game 4 in this series after playing a doubleheader on Saturday, where the Phillies took both games. San Diego is starting Seth Lugo, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Philadelphia is starting Zack Wheeler, who has allowed 3, 4, and 5 earned runs over his last three starts. San Diego has been very inconsistent this year, but I like them to get the series split here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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