Brewers vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 7/16/23

Cincinnati Reds (50-43) vs Milwaukee Brewers (51-42)

Game Info: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Ben Lively (4-5) (3.83) vs Adrian Houser (3-2) (3.68)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -130 / Milwaukee Brewers +110 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-42 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Milwaukee has won the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 3-0. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers offense has scored 388 runs with a .231 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Christian Yelich is batting .281 with 12 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Adrian Houser, who is 3-2 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year.  

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-43 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three games in their series in Milwaukee. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.81 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 454 runs with a .253 batting average and a .334 on base percentage this year. Spencer Steer is batting .273 with 14 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Ben Lively, who is 4-5 with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this season. 

Trends

Milwaukee is 5-0 in Houser’s last 5 Sunday starts and they are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in Houser’s last 6 starts on grass. Cincinnati is 0-5 in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning record.

Pick

Milwaukee has won four of their last five games, all against Cincinnati, and they are now leading the NL Central. Cincinnati was red hot coming into these six games against the Brewers, but they have been shutout in three straight games. Milwaukee is starting Adrian Houser, who has allowed four earned runs over his last 16 innings. Cincinnati is starting Ben Lively, who has allowed five earned runs over his last 15.1 innings of work. The Reds have been horrible at the plate over the last three games, but I think they are going to figure it out against Houser. Take the Reds here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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