Phillies vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 5/27/23

Atlanta Braves (31-20) vs Philadelphia Phillies (24-27)

Game Info: Saturday, May 27, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (5-4) (3.61) vs Zack Wheeler (3-4) (4.11)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -140 / Philadelphia Phillies +115 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series on Saturday afternoon at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 24-27 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Philadelphia won Game 2 of this series by a score of 6-4 on Friday night. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average this year. The Phillies offense has scored 221 runs with a .258 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .169 with 12 home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 57.0 innings pitched this season.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 31-20 this season and they have won two out of their last three games. Atlanta won Game 1 of this series by a score of 8-5 on Thursday night. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 263 runs with a .258 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Ronald Acuna is batting .323 with 11 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 5-4 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this year. 

Trends

Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 4-8 in their last 12 games. The under is 7-3 in Philadelphia’s last 10 game three’s of a series. Atlanta is 6-1 in their last 7 game three’s of a series and 29-13 in their last 42 Saturday games. The over is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 Saturday games. Philadelphia is 6-13 in these two teams last 19 head to head meetings in Atlanta. 

Pick

Atlanta continues to lead the NL East standings, but Philadelphia was able to tie the series up with a win on Friday night. The Braves have been great hitting and pitching this season, while the Phillies have a team ERA of 4.61. Atlanta is starting Charlie Morton, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow six earned runs to the Dodgers in his last start. Philadelphia is starting Zack Wheeler, who has allowed seven earned runs over his last two starts (12 IP). I like the Braves in this matchup. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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