Phillies vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 5/25/23

Atlanta Braves (30-19) vs Philadelphia Phillies (23-26)

Game Info: Thursday, May 25, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Dylan Dodd (2-1) (6.46) vs Aaron Nola (4-3) (4.31)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -105 / Philadelphia Phillies -111 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves will host the Philadelphia Phillies for game one of their divisional series this Thursday from Truist Park on the MLB Network.

Phillies Betting Preview

Philadelphia moved to 23-26 after two or three to Arizona. The Phillies avoided a sweep by winning game three, and they’ll look to steal a few games in Atlanta this weekend. The Philadelphia offense is scoring 4.45 runs per game, while batting .266, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.95 ERA, with a 1.37 WHIP. Alec Bohm produced two runs in the series finale win over the DBacks, and he leads the Phillies in RBI (35). Bryce Harper has a hit in eight of the last ten games, and he leads Philly in batting at .324. Bryson Stott collected three hits in the win over Arizona to bring his team-lead to 15.

Aaron Nola (4-3, 4.31 ERA, 17 Ks) will take the mound for Philadelphia. The longtime Phillies pitcher bounced back from a loss in Colorado by tossing a season-high ten strikeouts in seven innings versus Chicago. Nola has traded his last four starts, and after earning victory against the Cubs, he’ll attempt to buck that trend here.

Braves Betting Preview

Atlanta moved to 30-19 after dropping two of three to Los Angeles. The Braves avoided the sweep by standing their ground in ATL, and they’ll look to build on that here. The Atlanta offense is scoring 3.55 runs per game, while batting .257, with a .337 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.55 ERA, with a 1.27 WHIP. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a hit in eight of the last ten games, and he’s leading Atlanta in BA (.330) and hits (63). Sean Murphy is carrying a six-game hit streak into the weekend, and he’s first on the team in RBI (36). Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson both went yard in the game three win, with the latter now tied for the lead in RBI with these nice splits, .234/14/36.

Dylan Dodd (2-1, 6.46 ERA, 6 Ks) will start for Atlanta. The rookie pitcher will return to the rotation after missing two weeks of action. Dodd pitched a quality start in Miami in his last appearance to earn his second victory of the season.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta Trends

Philadelphia is 19-30 against the spread this season, with a 21-25-3 O/U record. Atlanta is 20-29 ATS this year, with a 29-19-1 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Both teams avoided being swept by the NL West, and I think we should see some more back-and-forth action this week. Philly will carry an advantage on the mound into this game, and while they should be able to keep things close early, I feel like Atlanta finds a way to start this series strong at home. The Dodgers’ series nearly humbled them completely, and a fast start for them feels likely. Back Atlanta for game one of this NL East series.