Cardinals vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 5/25/23

Cincinnati Reds (21-28) vs St. Louis Cardinals (22-29)

Game Info: Thursday, May 25, 2023 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luke Weaver (1-2) (6.54) vs Miles Mikolas (2-1) (4.77)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +145 / St. Louis Cardinals -175 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The St. Louis Cardinals will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 4 of their series on Thursday afternoon at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 22-29 this season and they have won three of their last five games. St. Louis won Game 2 of this series by a score of 8-5 on Tuesday night. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a .270 opponent batting average this season. The Cardinals offense has scored 261 runs with a .262 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .296 with 13 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Miles Mikolas, who is 2-1 with a 4.77 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 54.2 innings pitched this year. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 21-28 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Cincinnati won Games 1 and 3 in this series by scores of 6-5 and 10-3. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 5.06 ERA, a 1.48 WHIP, and a .272 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 216 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this year. Spencer Steer is batting .273 with six home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 6.54 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season.

Trends

St. Louis is 4-1 in their last 5 game four’s of a series and 4-2 in their last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in St. Louis’ last 5 games. Cincinnati is 2-4 in their last 6 home games and 2-9 in their last 11 game four’s of a series. The under is 8-1 in Cincinnati’s last 9 Thursday games. 

Pick

Cincinnati comes into this matchup looking for the series win and they are above .500 at home this season. The Reds are starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed four earned runs or more in four of his last five starts. The Cardinals are starting Miles Mikolas, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Mikolas has pitched much better in his last few starts and I like the Cardinals to win this game by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Cardinals -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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