Mets vs Cubs Prediction - MLB Picks 5/23/23

Chicago Cubs (20-26) vs New York Mets (25-23)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 23, 2023 at 7:40 pm (Wrigley Field)

Drew Smyly (4-1) (2.86) vs Kodai Senga (4-2) (3.77)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -110 / New York Mets -110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Chicago Cubs in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 25-23 this season and they have won five games in a row. New York is coming off of a series win against Cleveland, where they won all three games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 207 runs with a .244 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .228 with 17 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 20-26 this season and they have lost seven of their last eight games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss to the Phillies, where they lost two out of three games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 220 runs with a .262 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this year. Patrick Wisdom is batting .226 with 12 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Drew Smyly, who is 4-1 with a 2.86 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this season.

Trends

New York is 5-0 in their last 5 games and 7-20 in their last 27 Tuesday games. The over is 37-17 in New York’s last 54 game one’s of a series. Chicago is 17-6 in their last 23 game one’s of a series and 1-7 in their last 8 games. The over is 10-1 in Chicago’s last 11 games. The under is 4-1-1 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Mets come into this series playing great baseball and have won five games in a row, while the Cubs have really struggled over the last two weeks. Chicago will look to get back in the win column with Drew Smyly on the mound, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. New York will start Kodai Senga, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I like the Cubs with Smyly on the mound. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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