Brewers vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 5/21/23

Tampa Bay Rays (34-13) vs Milwaukee Brewers (24-21)

Game Info: Sunday, May 21, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Jalen Beeks (1-2) (4.70) vs Freddy Peralta (4-3) (4.11)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -140 / Milwaukee Brewers +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida.

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-21 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Milwaukee lost two out of three games against the Cardinals. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers offense has scored 187 runs with a .238 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Rowdy Tellez is batting .242 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 4-3 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year. 

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-13 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Tampa Bay has won the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 8-4. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .215 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 286 runs with a .273 batting average and a .347 on base percentage this year. Yandy Diaz is batting .333 with 11 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jalen Beeks, who is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Milwaukee is 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games and 2-9 in their last 11 road games. The over is 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last 5 game three’s of a series. Tampa Bay is 6-1 in their last 7 Sunday games and 40-12 in their last 52 home games. The over is 5-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 Sunday games. The under is 10-3 in these two teams last 13 head to head meetings in Tampa Bay.

Pick

Tampa Bay will be looking for the series sweep in this matchup, while Milwaukee will try to snap their losing streak. The Rays will be going with Jalen Beeks as the opener in this game and will turn to the bullpen after a couple of innings. Milwaukee is starting Freddy Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Peralta did struggle in his last start against the Cardinals, allowing six earned runs. I like the Rays to get another win here. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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