Rays vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 5/16/23

New York Mets (20-22) vs Tampa Bay Rays (31-11)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 16, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Justin Verlander (1-1) (2.25) vs Jalen Beeks (1-2) (5.40)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -170 / Tampa Bay Rays +140 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 31-11 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series split with the Yankees, where they won two games and lost two games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .215 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 260 runs with a .275 batting average and a .349 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .320 with 10 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jalen Beeks, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this season.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 20-22 this season and they have lost six of their last nine games. New York is coming off of a series split with the Nationals, where they won two games and lost two games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 174 runs with a .241 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .232 with 13 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Justin Verlander, who is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Tampa Bay is 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day and 21-8 in their last 29 game one’s of a series. The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 4 games. New York is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games and 45-22 in their last 67 game one’s of a series. The under is 4-1 in New York’s last 5 games. The over is 11-5 in these two teams last 16 head to head meetings.


The Rays have struggled over their last six games, but they still have the best record in baseball. New York has also struggled recently and they have not been able to really get any positive momentum so far this year. Verlander has pitched well for the Mets in his first two starts and I think that will continue here. I like the Mets to get the win. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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