Reds vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 5/14/23

Miami Marlins (19-21) vs Cincinnati Reds (18-21)

Game Info: Sunday, May 14, 2023 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Braxton Garrett (1-2) (5.97) vs Luke Weaver (1-2) (7.36)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -170 / Cincinnati Reds +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Miami Marlins in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 18-21 this season and they have won three games in a row. Cincinnati has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-4 and 6-5. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.93 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, and a .274 opponent batting average this year. The Reds offense has scored 170 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jake Fraley is batting .269 with five home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this season.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 19-21 this season and they have lost eight of their last eleven games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Miami won two out of three games against Arizona. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 138 runs with a .246 batting average and a .303 on base percentage this season. Jorge Soler is batting .245 with nine home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last 5 games and 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 Sunday games. Miami is 3-8 in their last 11 games and 0-5 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 game three’s of a series. The under is 8-2 in these two teams last 10 head to head meetings in Miami.

Pick

The Reds come into this game looking for the series sweep and they have hit the ball very well in the first two games in this series. Miami is the second worst team in runs scored, but they will face Luke Weaver, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four straight starts. Miami is starting Braxton Garrett, who has allowed 15 earned runs over his last two starts. I like the over in this matchup. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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