Pirates vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 5/14/23

Baltimore Orioles (26-13) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19)

Game Info: Sunday, May 14, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Kyle Gibson (4-2) (4.40) vs Mitch Keller (4-1) (2.72)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -160 / Pittsburgh Pirates +130 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 21-19 this season and they have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three games against Colorado. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Pirates offense has scored 172 runs with a .241 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .295 with five home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 49.2 innings pitched this season.

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-13 this season and they have won four games in a row. Baltimore has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-3 and 2-0. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 200 runs with a .252 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this year. Adley Rutschman is batting .289 with six home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this season.

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Pittsburgh is 3-8 in their last 11 Sunday games and 1-11 in their last 12 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 4 games following a loss. Baltimore is 6-1 in their last 7 game three’s of a series and 20-7 in their last 27 games. The under is 11-5-1 in Baltimore’s last 17 Sunday games. Pittsburgh is 1-11 in these two teams last 12 head to head meetings in Baltimore.


The Pirates continue to struggle and they have only won one out of their last 12 games, while Baltimore has won four in a row. The Orioles have a top ten scoring offense in the MLB and they have been pitching much better in recent games. Baltimore is starting Kyle Gibson, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Pittsburgh is starting Mitch Keller, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. I am going to take the under in this matchup. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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