Reds vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 5/12/23

Miami Marlins (19-19) vs Cincinnati Reds (16-21)

Game Info: Friday, May 12, 2023 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Eury Perez (0-0) (0.00) vs Graham Ashcraft (2-1) (3.82)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -145 / Cincinnati Reds +120 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-21 this season and they have lost six of their last ten games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series win against the Mets, where they won two out of three games. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, and a .276 opponent batting average this year. The Reds offense has scored 157 runs with a .245 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. TJ Friedl is batting .306 with three home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 19-19 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Miami is coming off of a series win against Arizona, where they won two out of the three games in the series. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 129 runs with a .246 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Jorge Soler is batting .235 with nine home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is making his first appearance for the Marlins this season.

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Trends

Cincinnati is 1-7 in their last 8 Friday games and 8-19 in their last 27 games against the NL East. The over is 5-0 in Cincinnati’s last 5 game one’s of a series. Miami is 17-36 in their last 53 Friday games and 6-2 in their last 8 games against the NL Central. The under is 5-1-1 in Miami’s last 7 Friday games. The under is 12-2 in these two teams last 14 head to head meetings in Miami.

Pick

Miami comes into this game with a .500 record and will have one of their top prospects on the mound in this game. Eury Perez is making his MLB debut for the Marlins after a very good start to the season in Double-A. Cincinnati is starting Graham Ashcraft, who has pitched well this season, but did allow eight earned runs in his last start against the White Sox. I am going to go with the Marlins in this game, as I think Perez is going to have a very impressive opening start. 

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David’s Pick Marlins ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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