Mets vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 5/12/23

Washington Nationals (16-21) vs New York Mets (18-20)

Game Info: Friday, May 12, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

MacKenzie Gore (3-2) (3.65) vs Tylor Megill (3-2) (4.33)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +110 / New York Mets -130 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Washington Nationals in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 18-20 this season and they have lost seven of their last nine games. New York is coming off of a series loss to the Reds, where they lost two out of three games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 158 runs with a .236 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .234 with 13 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 3-2 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 16-21 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Washington is coming off of a series win against San Francisco, where they won two out of the three games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 149 runs with a .258 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Luis Garcia is batting .264 with three home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 3-2 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this season.

Trends

New York is 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games and 1-4 in their last 5 game one’s of a series. The under is 5-2 in New York’s last 7 games. Washington is 9-26 in their last 35 Friday games and 14-42 in their last 56 game one’s of a series. The under is 4-0 in Washington’s last 4 home games. New York is 23-10 in these two teams last 33 head to head meetings. 

Pick

The Mets have had a very disappointing start to the season, but they still have a better record than Washington. New York has allowed 31 runs in their last five games and has a team ERA of 4.73. The Mets are starting Tylor Megill, who has allowed exactly three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The Nationals will turn to MacKenzie Gore, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. I like the under in this matchup. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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