Rays vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 5/11/23

New York Yankees (21-17) vs Tampa Bay Rays (29-9)

Game Info: Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Domingo German (2-2) (4.35) vs Drew Rasmussen (3-2) (3.11)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees +110 / Tampa Bay Rays -130 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the New York Yankees in Game 1 of their series on Thursday night at Yankee Stadium in New York.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 29-9 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series loss to Baltimore, where they lost two out of three games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 2.95 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .210 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 231 runs with a .272 batting average and a .345 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .319 with nine home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 3-2 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season.

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 21-17 this season and they have won four of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won all three games. The New York pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 168 runs with a .235 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Anthony Rizzo is batting .302 with six home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Domingo German, who is 2-2 with a 4.35 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

Tampa Bay is 6-2 in their last 8 road games and 20-8 in their last 28 game one’s of a series. The under is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 games. New York is 4-1 in their last 5 games and 2-8 in their last 10 game one’s of a series. The over is 4-0 in New York’s last 4 games. The over is 4-1 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Pick

These two teams played last weekend, with Tampa Bay winning two out of the three games in the series. Each game was decided by one run and the third game went to extra innings. Tampa Bay is starting Drew Rasmussen, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is starting Domingo German, who has allowed three earned runs over his last 13.1 innings pitched. These two pitchers went against each other last weekend, with New York winning by a score of 3-2 in that game. I think we are going to see another low scoring game and I like the under here. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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