Padres vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 5/11/23

Minnesota Twins (19-17) vs San Diego Padres (19-17)

Game Info: Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

Bailey Ober (2-0) (0.98) vs Yu Darvish (2-2) (3.19)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins +105 / San Diego Padres -132 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres and Minnesota Twins face off on Thursday in an MLB showdown at Target Field. The two teams have split the first two games of this series. 

Padres Betting Preview

The Padres come into this game with a 19-18 record overall but on Wednesday the offense wasn’t good enough. The pitching was solid, but they ended up losing 4-3 in extra innings. They couldn’t get any runs in the top of the 11th and that led to the loss. The Padres are averaging 4.16 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.16 runs per game. On the mound for the Padres will be Yu Darvish who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 3.19. In his last start against the Dodgers he went 6.2 innings giving up four hits and two runs. 

Twins Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is the Twins who sit with a 20-17 record overall, but the offense for this team has been too inconsistent. The Twins are averaging 4.24 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.65 runs per game. The offense needs to find a way to be more consistent. On the mound for the Twins will be Bailey Ober who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.98. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went seven innings giving up three hits and zero runs. 

Padres vs Twins Trends

Under is 6-0-2 in Twins last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-0 in Padres last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 interleague games. Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 overall. Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 on grass. Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Shane’s Free Pick

The trends point towards the under and runs are going to be hard to come back again here. I especially don’t trust this Twins offense and that is going to be the difference as this game is going to be lower scoring. Look for 3 or 4 runs to be scored total, and this will be an easy under. Back the under.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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