Rangers vs Mariners Prediction - MLB Picks 5/10/23

Seattle Mariners (17-18) vs Texas Rangers (21-13)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 10, 2023 at 3:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Luis Castillo (2-0) (2.38) vs Dane Dunning (2-0) (1.42)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -171 / Texas Rangers +157 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Seattle Mariners will host the Texas Rangers for their series finale this Wednesday from T-Mobile Park. Seattle shut Texas out last night to take game two, 5-0.

Rangers Betting Preview

Texas moved to 21-14 after losing to Seattle. The Rangers were held scoreless for the first time in over a month, and they’ll look to get back to their explosive ways here. The Texas offense is scoring 4.37 runs per game, while batting .264, with a .338 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.72 ERA, with a 1.18 WHIP. Jonah Heim has caught fire at the plate, and after recording multiple hits in four of the last five games, he leads Texas in batting (.321). Marcus Semien also has multiple hits in three of his last five games, and he’s up to 28 RBI with a .286 BA. Adonis Garcia has been quiet through two games in Seattle, but he leads the Rangers in HR (9) and RBI (36).

Dane Dunning (2-0, 1.42 ERA, 14 Ks) will begin the game for Texas. The fourth-year pitcher put together another useful outing in the sixth-day start versus the Angels over the weekend, tossing a season-high five scoreless innings to help defeat LAA. Dunning will likely receive a similar workload here in Seattle, and he’s only allowed four runs through nine appearances thus far.

Mariners Betting Preview

Seattle enters at 18-18 after sweeping Texas. The Mariners have now won six of eight to start the month of May, and they’ll look to win a third straight series here. The Seattle offense is scoring 3.67 runs per game, while batting .233, with a .303 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.35 ERA, with a 1.15 WHIP. Jarred Kelenic has a hit in eight of the last ten games, and he leads the team in batting (.287). Ty France has come back alive at the plate with hits in seven straight games, and he’s up a team-lead 18 RBI.

Luis Castillo (2-0, 1.82 ERA, 43 Ks) will start for Seattle. The seventh-year flamethrower has pitched well through the first month of action, and he’ll look to get back in the win column after failing to receive run support with the Mariner bats struggling. Castillo struck out five in seven full innings versus Houston, but he allowed a season-high four runs, and will look to clean that up here versus Texas. Castillo has only cleared seven strikeouts in two of five home starts this season.

Texas vs Seattle Trends

Texas is 21-14 against the spread this season, with a 21-12-1 O/U record. Seattle is 19-17 ATS this year, with a 17-18-1 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Seattle has played good ball early this month, and I like their momentum carrying into this rubber match. The Mariners have been able to contain the high octane Rangers lineup through two days, and with Luis Castillo set to deal Wednesday, we could be in for more of the same. Although the total feels manageable, let’s buy into a strong outing from Castillo at home, and roll with Seattle to cover.