Nationals vs Giants Prediction - MLB Picks 5/10/23

The Washington Nationals have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Nationals have won 8 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 41 hits and 15 RBI, while Lane Thomas and Luis Garcia have combined for 66 hits and 33 RBI. Josiah Gray gets the ball, and he is 2-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Gray is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Giants.

The San Francisco Giants have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Giants have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with 46 hits and 14 RBI, while JD Davis and Mike Yastrzemski have combined for 58 hits and 34 RBI. Sean Manaea gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 7.33 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Manaea’s second career game against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 7-17 in their last 24 Wednesday games and 5-2 in their last 7 overall. The Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and 7-2 in their last 9 Wednesday games. The under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 overall. The over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 Wednesday games. The Nationals are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

The San Francisco Giants are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home because they're the better team on paper. However, this line is a bit steep given how poorly Sean Manaea has been so far this season. Josiah Gray has been more than respectable through 38.2 innings, and the Nats offense has heated up lately. I'll take a stab with the road dog on the quick turnaround.