Mets vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 5/9/23

Cincinnati Reds (14-20) vs New York Mets (17-18)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 9, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luke Weaver (0-2) (7.88) vs Max Scherzer (2-2) (5.56)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +165 / New York Mets -200 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 17-18 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. New York is coming off of a series loss to Colorado, where they lost two out of three games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.74 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 150 runs with a .236 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .235 with 11 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Scherzer, who is 2-2 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this year.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-20 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the White Sox, where they lost two out of three games. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .280 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 144 runs with a .245 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. TJ Friedl is batting .319 with three home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this season.


New York is 1-5 in their last 6 games and 0-4 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The over is 16-6 in New York’s last 22 game one’s of a series. Cincinnati is 9-19 in their last 28 game one’s of a series and 2-5 in their last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 Tuesday games. New York is 38-15 in these two teams last 53 head to head meetings.


Both of these teams have struggled so far this season and enter this matchup in need of a series win. New York has a very talented team, but they have dealt with quite a few injuries this year. Cincinnati has a team ERA over five and will be starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed 14 earned runs over his last 16 innings pitched. New York is starting Max Scherzer, who got roughed up by the Tigers in his first start following his suspension. I like the over in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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