Twins vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 5/7/23

Cleveland Guardians (15-18) vs Minnesota Twins (19-15)

Game Info: Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Cal Quantrill (1-2) (4.73) vs Joe Ryan (5-0) (2.37)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +115 / Minnesota Twins -147 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Minnesota Twins for their series finale this Sunday from Progressive Field. Cleveland struck back in game two by holding off Minnesota last night, 4-3. 

Twins Betting Preview

Minnesota moved to 19-15 following the loss to Cleveland. The Twins suffered another one-run loss, and they’ll look to avoid dropping a second straight series to open the month. The Minnesota offense is scoring 3.7 runs per game, while batting .240, with a .312 on-base percentage. Jorge Polanco has been effective since returning late in April, and he’s recorded a hit in eight of the last ten games to lead the Twins in batting (.300). Byron Buxton also has a hit in eight of the last ten, and he’s first in the team in RBI (19) and runs (21). 

Joe Ryan (5-0, 2.37 ERA, 43 Ks) will take the mound for Minnesota. The third-year pitcher has come out sharp this season, winning his first five starts, before striking out seven in six scoreless innings against Chicago on Tuesday. Ryan has cleared seven strikeouts in four of his last five outings, and he’ll look to carry that momentum into Cleveland Saturday. 

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Guardians Betting Preview

Cleveland improved to 15-18 after Minnesota. The Guardians snapped a three-game skid with the home win last night, and they’ll look to build on that here. The Cleveland offense is scoring 3.85 runs per game, while batting .232, with a .311 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.04 ERA, with a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez has recorded a hit in nine of the last nine games, and he leads Cleveland in BA (.283). Josh Naylor now has the team-lead in RBI after a strong end to April with 19. Steven Kwan is carrying a four-game hit streak into this one, and he’s right behind JRam for the team-lead in hitting at .278.

Cal Quantrill (1-2, 5.40 ERA, 17 Ks) will take the mound for Cleveland. The fifth-year pitcher put together his best start of the season in the Bronx versus the Yanks. Quantrill tossed a season-high 7.1 innings, while allowing just two earned runs, and he’ll look to bring that momentum back home this Sunday. 

Minnesota vs Cleveland Trends

Minnesota is 19-15 against the spread this season, with a 14-17-3 over/under record. Cleveland is 13-21 ATS this year, with a 11-21-1 O/U record.

Corey's Free Pick

Minnesota will be sending one of the best young pitchers in the league to the mound on Sunday, and I like leaning on him in this spot. Joe Ryan hasn’t found trouble through six starts, and if he gets the proper run support, the Twins should close strong here. It may be a sweat, but they’ve got a noticeable advantage on the hill, so roll with Minnesota in this AL Central contest.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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