Orioles vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 5/7/23

Atlanta Braves (23-11) vs Baltimore Orioles (22-11)

Game Info: Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 11:35 am (Truist Park)

Bryce Elder (3-0) (1.75) vs Tyler Wells (2-1) (3.34)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -175 / Baltimore Orioles +145 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 22-11 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Baltimore won Game 1 of this series by a score of 9-4 on Friday night. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average this year. The Orioles offense has scored 184 runs with a .260 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jorge Mateo is batting .304 with six home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tyler Wells, who is 2-1 with a 3.34 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this season.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 23-11 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Atlanta won Game 2 of this series by a score of 5-4 on Saturday. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 185 runs with a .265 batting average and a .345 on base percentage this season. Sean Murphy is batting .287 with nine home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

Baltimore is 5-0 in their last 5 game three’s of a series and 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The over is 7-2 in Baltimore’s last 9 games. Atlanta is 51-21 in their last 72 home games and 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. The over is 12-1 in Atlanta’s last 13 home games. The over is 5-0 in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings in Atlanta. 

Pick

Both of these teams have played very well to start the season and they will be playing for the series in this matchup. These two teams have very similar offensive stats, but the Atlanta pitching staff has been much better than Baltimore’s. Atlanta is starting Bryce Elder, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Orioles are starting Tyler Wells, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Both of these offenses are powerful, but I like the pitching matchup here and I am taking the under. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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