White Sox vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 5/5/23

Cincinnati Reds (13-18) vs Chicago White Sox (10-22)

Game Info: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Hunter Greene (0-1) (2.89) vs Lance Lynn (0-4) (7.16)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -110 / Chicago White Sox -110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago White Sox will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 10-22 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Minnesota, where they won two out of the three games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 5.59 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average this season. The White Sox offense has scored 130 runs with a .235 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Andrew Vaughn is batting .252 with three home runs and 20 RBI’s for the White Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Lance Lynn, who is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 13-18 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the Padres, where they lost two out of three games. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .278 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 131 runs with a .244 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this year. TJ Friedl is batting .311 with two home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this season.

Trends

Chicago is 2-5 in their last 7 game one’s of a series and 0-5 in their last 5 Friday games. The over is 3-1-1 in Chicago’s last 5 Friday games. Cincinnati is 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games and 1-6 in their last 7 Friday games. The under is 22-8-1 in Cincinnati’s last 31 games following a loss. The under is 4-0 in these two teams last 4 head to head meetings. 

Pick

Both of these teams come into this game below .500, but Chicago has won three of their last four games. The White Sox have a team ERA of 5.59 and they will be starting Lance Lynn, who has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 16.2 innings of work. Cincinnati is starting Hunter Greene, who has allowed one earned run over his last 14 innings pitched. I have to fade Lance Lynn in this matchup, so I am taking the Reds. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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