Red Sox vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 5/5/23

Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) vs Boston Red Sox (19-14)

Game Info: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Zack Wheeler (3-1) (3.86) vs Chris Sale (2-2) (6.75)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -165 / Boston Red Sox +140 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 19-14 this season and they have won six games in a row. Boston is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won all four games played. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average this season. The Red Sox offense has scored 195 runs with a .274 batting average and a .345 on base percentage. Masataka Yoshida is batting .317 with six home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 29.1 innings pitched. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-17 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss to the Dodgers, where they lost all three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 5.13 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 137 runs with a .266 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this year. Nick Castellanos is batting .309 with four home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year.

Trends

Boston is 6-0 in their last 6 games and 6-15 in their last 21 road games. The under is 5-2 in Boston’s last 7 Friday games. Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games and 35-16 in their last 51 Friday games. The under is 6-2 in Philadelphia’s last 8 home games. Boston is 5-2 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings in Philadelphia. 

Pick

Boston comes into this game on a six game winning streak and has scored at least six runs in all six wins. Philadelphia has lost four games in a row and allowed at least 10 runs in each loss to the Dodgers. The Red Sox are starting Chris Sale, who has not pitched well in his last couple of road starts. Philadelphia is starting Zack Wheeler, who has allowed seven earned runs over his last 17.0 innings pitched. Chris Sale has struggled in his last two road starts, but the Boston offense may be able to keep them in it. I like the over in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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