Marlins vs Cubs Prediction - MLB Picks 5/5/23

Chicago Cubs (15-16) vs Miami Marlins (16-16)

Game Info: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Justin Steele (4-0) (1.49) vs Edward Cabrera (2-2) (4.67)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -150 / Miami Marlins +130 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Chicago Cubs in Game 1 of their series on Friday afternoon at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 16-16 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Miami is coming off of a series loss to the Braves, where they lost all three games in the series. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average this year. The Marlins offense has scored 108 runs with a .250 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Jazz Chisholm is batting .237 with five home runs and 13 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 2-2 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 27 innings pitched this season.

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 15-16 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss to Washington, where they lost three out of four games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 156 runs with a .270 batting average and a .341 on base percentage this season. Patrick Wisdom is batting .238 with 11 home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Justin Steele, who is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this year.


Miami is 17-35 in their last 52 Friday games and 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-1-1 in Miami’s last 6 Friday games. Chicago is 15-3 in their last 18 Friday games and 1-6 in their last 7 games. The under is 5-0 in Chicago’s last 5 games. The under is 7-3 in these two teams last 10 head to head meetings.


Both of these teams come into this game after losing their last series, but Chicago will be at home and has the pitching advantage in this matchup. The Cubs are starting Justin Steele, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Marlins are starting Edward Cabrera, who has allowed six earned runs in his last 9.1 innings pitched. I like the Cubs to win this game at home. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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