Astros vs Mariners Prediction - MLB Picks 5/5/23

Seattle Mariners (13-16) vs Houston Astros (16-15)

Game Info: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 10:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Luis Castillo (2-0) (1.82) vs Cristian Javier (2-1) (3.48)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -130 / Houston Astros +120 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Seattle Mariners will start their three-game set with the Houston Astros this Friday from T-Mobile Field.

Astros Betting Preview

Houston enters at 16-15 after dropping two of three to San Francisco. The Astros tailed off at the plate over the last two games, and they’ll look to bounce back with a road win here. The Houston offense is scoring 4.66 runs per game, while batting .254, with a .330 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.32 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez was quiet in the San Fran series, but he’s still among AL leaders with 27 RBI. Jeremy Peña has recorded a hit in seven of the last nine games, and he’s scored a team-high 21 runs with 17 RBI. 

Cristian Javier (2-1, 3.48 ERA, 19 Ks) will take the mound for Houston. The fourth-year pitcher will look to avenge his first loss of the season here, after striking out six and allowing just three runs versus Philly. Javier tossed ten strikeouts in his last road start against a strong Atlanta team, and he could be in for a bounce back here. 

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Mariners Betting Preview 

Seattle enters at 15-16 after sweeping Oakland. The Mariners got a much-needed sweep after struggling towards the end of April, and they’ll look to double down in division play. The Seattle offense is scoring 3.88 runs per game, while batting .215, with a .294 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.52 ERA, with a 1.21 WHIP. Jarred Kelenic has a hit in five of the last six games, and he leads the team in batting (.304). Cal Raleigh leads the team in RBI (18), after a big series versus Toronto last weekend. Eugenio Suarez tied the team-lead of 18 after coming thru with three in the game two win in Oakland.

Luis Castillo (2-0, 1.82 ERA, 34 Ks) will start for Seattle. The seventh-year pitcher has picked up right here left off after coming over from Cincy last season. Castillo has tossed 29 strikeouts and allowed just three earned runs through four home starts. 

Houston vs Seattle Trends

Houston is 16-15 against the spread this season, with a 16-14-1 O/U record. Seattle is 16-15 ATS this year, with a 15-15-1 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

Two of the best young arms in the majors will face off this Friday, and I like buying into the pitchers duel here. Cristian Javier and Luis Castillo have both come out in mid-season form, with the latter pitching shutdown baseball at home through the first month of action. Javier should be able to capitalize on Seattle’s struggles at the plate, and we’ve got the elements for a defensive game Friday. Take the Under for game one of this AL West series.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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