Pirates vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 5/4/23

Tampa Bay Rays (23-6) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (20-9)

Game Info: Thursday, May 4, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

Zach Eflin (3-0) (3.00) vs Vince Velasquez (4-2) (3.06)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -182 / Pittsburgh Pirates +140 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays face off on Thursday in an MLB showdown at Tropicana Field. On Wednesday it was the Pirates that were able to secure the 8-1 victory. 

Pirates Betting Preview

The Pirates sit with a 20-11 record overall and they have lost three games in a row. Over the last three games the Pirates offense has scored only four runs total. The Pirates are averaging 5.09 runs while their defense is giving up 3.87 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th in the league while the defense is ranked 8th. On the mound for the Pirates will be Vince Velasquez who sits with a 4-2 record and an ERA of 3.06. In his last start against the Nationals he went six innings giving up five hits and zero runs. 

Rays Betting Preview

The Rays sit with a 25-6 record overall and they are coming off another big win. Wander Franco had a strong game finishing with two hits, two RBIs and three runs. The Rays are averaging 6.67 runs while their defense is giving up 3.03 runs per game. Randy Arozaren has hit seven home runs and driven in 28 RBIs. On the mound for the Rays will be Zach Eflin who sits with a 3-0 record and an ERA of 3.00. In his last start against the White Sox he went five innings giving up six hits and two runs. 

Pirates vs Rays Trends

Rays are 4-0 in Eflins last 4 starts. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. Pirates are 4-0 in Velasquezs last 4 starts. Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 on astroturf. Under is 5-1-3 in Rays last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Shane’s Free Pick

This is going to be a good old fashioned pitchers duel. Eflin and Velasquez have both been good this season. The Pirates offense especially has struggled coming into this game and that is going to lead to this game being lower scoring. There will only be four or five runs scored here and the under is going to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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