Cubs vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 5/4/23

Washington Nationals (10-18) vs Chicago Cubs (15-13)

Game Info: Thursday, May 4, 2023 at 1:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Patrick Corbin (1-4) (5.74) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals / Chicago Cubs --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Nationals will host the Chicago Cubs for series finale from Nationals Park. Washington took game three in a snoozer last night, 2-1.

Cubs Betting Preview

Chicago comes in at 15-15 after losing to Washington. The Cubs have now dropped five of their last six games, and they’ll look to stop the bleeding here. The Chicago offense is scoring 5.75 runs per game, while batting .272, with a .345 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.36 ERA, with a 1.19 WHIP. Nico Hoerner has a hit in seven of the last nine games, and he now leads the Cubs in hitting (.310). Patrick Wisdom leads the team in homers (11) and RBI (21), after going yard in game one.

Jameson Taillon (0-2, 4.50 ERA, 15 Ks) will get the ball for Chicago. The seventh-year pitcher will make his return from the DL after a two-week stint. Taillon struggled to contain his first two outings, but his last start versus LAD was impressive, striking out seven over five innings of work to help push the Cubs to a win.

Nationals Betting Preview

Washington fell to 12-18 after defeating Chicago. The Nationals have taken the last two at home, and a win here would nab them their third series win of the season. The Washington offense is scoring 3.42 runs per game, while batting .252, with a .316 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.36 ERA, with a 1.40 WHIP. Joey Meneses has multiple hits in three of the last five games, and he leads the Nats in batting (.274). Lane Thomas has scored a run in four of the last games, and he’s up to a team-high 15 runs.

Patrick Corbin (1-4, 5.74 ERA, 13 Ks) will make the road start for Washington. The veteran pitcher has quietly delivered two quality starts in his last three games, but poor execution has led to him taking three straight losing decisions. Corbin still remains a volatile pitchers, and he’s given up three or more runs in all six starts this season.

Chicago vs Washington Trends

Chicago is 17-13 against the spread this season, with a 13-15-1 O/U record. Washington is 17-12 ATS this year, with a 12-15-2 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

Chicago comes into a manageable spot on the road here, as it’s very tough to look away from the Nats starter for the series finale. A Patrick Corbin outing is usually followed by earned runs given up, and even with his recent ‘improvement’, I still like targeting him because we as a community know he’s a volatile pitcher. The total may be in play, but trust the Cubs firepower here in game four, and take their line Thursday.