Braves vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 5/4/23

Miami Marlins (16-13) vs Atlanta Braves (19-10)

Game Info: Thursday, May 4, 2023 at 4:10 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (2-1) (3.48) vs Dylan Dodd (1-1) (7.71)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +115 / Atlanta Braves -147 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins will close their divisional set this Thursday from IoanDepot Park. Atlanta has outscored Miami in the first two meetings, 20-6.

Braves Betting Preview

Atlanta improved to 21-10 after defeating Miami. The Braves have won seven of nine games since being swept by Houston, and they’ll look to finish the road mission here. The Atlanta offense is scoring 5.48 runs per game, while batting .272, with a .352 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.79 ERA, with a 1.33 WHIP. Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded an RBI in the six of the last seven games, and he’s leading the team in batting average (.355). Ozzie Alvies doubled twice in yesterday’s win and produced four runs to bring his team-lead 26 RBI. Marcell Ozuna finally woke up at the plate with his first two home runs of the season last night.

Dylan Dodd (1-1, 7.71 ERA, 6 Ks) will start for Atlanta. The rookie  pitcher will make his first start since April 9th after missing time with an injury. Dodd performed well in his debut on the road versus St. Louis, but he was lit up by San Diego in his last outing, giving up seven runs in 4.1 innings pitched. 

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Marlins Betting Preview 

Miami fell to 16-15 following the loss to Atlanta. The Marlins have been outplayed thru two contests, and they’ll look to avoid being swept at home here. The Miami offense is scoring 3.65 runs per game, while batting .248, with a .310 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.72 ERA, with a 1.35 WHIP. Luis Arraez continues to be a hit machine, and he leads Miami in batting (.435) after recording hits in nine of his last ten games. The plate production drops off there noticeably, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with 13 RBI. 

Jesus Luzardo (2-1, 3.48 ERA, 26 Ks) will take the mound for Miami. The sixth-year lefty got back on track with a quality start last time out, striking out six in 6.1 innings. Luzardo has cleared six strikeouts in each of his past three starts, and tossed 5.2 shutout innings in his season debut versus the Mets. 

Atlanta vs Miami Trends 

Atlanta is 14-16 against the spread this season, with a 17-12-1 O/U record. Miami is 12-18 ATS this year, with a 12-17-1 over/under record. ATL is 5-1 ATS versus Miami this season.

Corey’s Free Pick

Miami has shown little pulse this week with Atlanta, and even with the expected advantage on the hill, they may potentially be victims of a sweep here. The Braves hold such an advantage offensively, that it’ll feel like a matter of ‘if’, not ‘when’ for them here. Jesus Luzardo could make things interesting, but Atlanta’s got it going at the plate right now, and their trustworthy. Back the Braves to bring to brooms out here with a win.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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